Iron Sheepdog Market Intelligence

Texas | August 2026

Texas’s August 2026 Iron Index is 74 (Active). TxDOT recorded $1,148,443,653 in low bids across 233 contracts; 64.6% of value was in earthwork-intensive work. Regional diesel was $5.360/gal in the week of 2026-08-31. August construction employment was up 1.9% year over year.

REPORT TYPE
State Report
REPORTING PERIOD
August 2026
PUBLISHED
October 15, 2026
DATA AS OF
August 4, 2026
VERIFIED
October 15, 2026
THE IRON INDEX™

The monthly operating picture

4
verified sources
74
/ 100
Active
-2 since July

One score summarizing project activity, demand, capacity, operating pressure, and near-term opportunity.

THIS MONTH IN 20 SECONDS
↗

TxDOT recorded $1,148.4M in low bids across 233 August contracts.

!

64.6% of recorded low-bid value was in earthwork-intensive work.

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Regional diesel was $5.360/gal in the week of 2026-08-31.

MARKET SCORECARD

Where the market stands now

0 weak  •  100 exceptional
Transportation
95
/100
Heavy civil
90
/100
Project pipeline
69
/100
Broker opportunity
71
/100
Hauler capacity
50
/100
Fuel risk
25
/100
DEEP DIVE

The full market analysis

For readers who want the detail behind the score, signals, regional outlook, and operating recommendations.

Executive read: Texas’s August Iron Index is 74 (Active), Iron Sheepdog’s proprietary assessment. A large interchange contract and freeway capacity work supported strong recorded DOT activity. The August pipeline snapshot added a forward-looking view, while higher regional diesel costs weighed on operating conditions. The employment-based capacity proxy pointed to tighter availability.

Market at a glance

  • Recorded low bids: $1,148,443,653 across 233 contracts
  • Letting dates: 11 date(s), 2026-08-04 through 2026-08-28
  • Work mix: 64.6% of value in earthwork-intensive work
  • Regional diesel: Gulf Coast (PADD 3), $5.360/gal, week of 2026-08-31
  • Construction employment: 924,900 jobs in August, up 1.9% year over year
  • Data coverage: Six verified metrics

Where the work was

Interchange (New or Reconstructed)

$205,813,981 across 1 contract(s), representing 17.9% of recorded low-bid value. Confirm actual hauling scope, award status and mobilization with the contractor.

Freeway Operational Improvements

$185,831,780 across 1 contract(s), representing 16.2% of recorded low-bid value. Confirm actual hauling scope, award status and mobilization with the contractor.

Rehabilitation of Existing Road

$166,061,326 across 15 contract(s), representing 14.5% of recorded low-bid value. Confirm actual hauling scope, award status and mobilization with the contractor.

Widen Non-Freeway

$91,790,294 across 3 contract(s), representing 8.0% of recorded low-bid value. Confirm actual hauling scope, award status and mobilization with the contractor.

Regional outlook

Webb County

$209,641,716 across 3 contract(s). This is a concentration of recorded low bids, not a measurement of available hauling work or trucks.

Wharton County

$185,831,780 across 1 contract(s). This is a concentration of recorded low bids, not a measurement of available hauling work or trucks.

Fort Bend County

$107,459,436 across 3 contract(s). This is a concentration of recorded low bids, not a measurement of available hauling work or trucks.

Tarrant County

$81,868,764 across 13 contract(s). This is a concentration of recorded low bids, not a measurement of available hauling work or trucks.

Operating environment

Fuel and margins

EIA reported Gulf Coast (PADD 3) on-highway diesel at $5.360/gal for the week of 2026-08-31, 11.2% above its recent reference level. This is a regional figure, not a Texas pump price. Check fuel-adjustment terms and loaded and empty miles when pricing work.

Hauling capacity

BLS reported 924,900 construction jobs in August 2026, up 1.9% from August 2025. Hauler Capacity is an employment-based proxy, not a measurement of truck supply. The proxy points to tighter availability; local truck commitments still need direct confirmation.

30-90 day outlook

August pipeline snapshot

The snapshot captured on 2026-08-24 included 1,247 active tentative projects with $3,320,019,440 in estimates, scheduled from 2026-08-24 through 2026-11-21. These are estimates from that August snapshot, not awards, a current October pipeline or guaranteed hauling demand.

Broker coverage

The scored forward pipeline supports planning conversations. Verify bid dates, awards and mobilizations before converting tentative projects into truck commitments.

Opportunity map

  • Prioritize contractor outreach around interchange, freeway capacity and widening contracts.
  • Match coverage to confirmed hauling scope, material specifications and start dates.
  • The capacity proxy indicates tighter availability; confirm actual regional capacity directly.

Risk map

  • Low-bid totals are not final awards or guaranteed mobilizations.
  • Large individual contracts can shift the monthly picture; contract count is not truck demand.
  • Regional diesel was 11.2% above its recent reference level during the reporting period.
  • DOT lettings omit private, county and municipal construction. Employment is a capacity proxy, not truck availability.

What to do next

Broker playbook

  • Build coverage around interchange, freeway capacity and widening contracts.
  • The employment proxy points to tighter availability; check truck commitments directly.
  • Use explicit fuel-adjustment terms and validate route costs before quoting.
Explore Broker Intelligence

Contractor playbook

  • Confirm material quantities, hauling scope and mobilization before reserving capacity.
  • Use the tighter capacity signal as a prompt for local availability checks, not a truck count.
  • Compare hauling quotes using fuel, loaded miles, empty miles and expected wait time.
Explore Contractor Intelligence

Hauler playbook

  • Ask about material-moving packages within interchange, freeway capacity and widening contracts.
  • The capacity proxy suggests tighter availability; verify local demand before repositioning trucks.
  • Check fuel-adjustment language, wait-time terms and payment timing before accepting work.
Explore Hauler Intelligence

Sources & methodology

Data as of
August 4, 2026
Verified
October 15, 2026

Historical edition prepared October 15, 2026. Letting, fuel and employment observations are anchored to the stated reporting period. Employment estimates may be revised after their initial release.

  • TxDOT bid tabulations. Data dates: 2026-08-04–2026-08-28. October 15, 2026. Published ranked low-bid totals; historical tabulations support the activity assessment.
  • EIA — On-Highway Diesel Prices. Gulf Coast (PADD 3), week of 2026-08-31. Retrieved October 15, 2026. Regional price, not a state pump price.
  • BLS — State and Area Employment. Texas construction, August 2026 compared with August 2025. Retrieved October 15, 2026. Employment-based capacity proxy; estimates subject to revision.
  • TxDOT Project Information. Archived snapshot captured August 24, 2026, covering tentative letting dates August 24–November 21. Replayed October 15, 2026; estimates are not awards.

About the Iron Index

The Iron Index is Iron Sheepdog’s proprietary market assessment, built from public DOT, EIA and BLS data. It considers activity, work mix, forward pipeline, fuel pressure and hauling capacity. A score of 60 represents normal conditions for that state. The scoring derivation is proprietary and is not published.

Disclosures

Hauler Capacity is an employment-based proxy, not a measurement of truck supply. Scores describe observed conditions and are not forecasts or guarantees. Low-bid results can change before final award. This report does not measure all private, county or municipal construction.

Put this intelligence to work

Use the market signals above to grow your network, plan capacity, and find better-fit work in Texas.